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Table of Contents
Provenance: statistics:pvalue_corrections
Working notes behind pvalue_corrections — every query with its population and denominator, the scripts and their unedited output, the fold and its residue, the quotes checked against source papers, the external sources and how each was verified or rejected, the review log, and what could not be established. Corpus-level caveats that apply to every page on this site are on corpus and are not restated here.
1. What this page is backing
| Item | Value |
|---|---|
| Content page | pvalue_corrections — new, not an extension of anything |
| Report script | scripts/report_pvalue_corrections.mjs |
| Free-text fold it depends on | scripts/mcc_fold.mjs — 11 procedure families plus two non-correction buckets, with a self-test |
| Quote verification | scripts/quote_check.mjs –statistics multiple-comparison-correction (the –statistics filter was added for this page) |
| Stale-number guard | scripts/check_page_numbers.mjs, whole-page, with –code |
| Non-corpus number ledger | out/pvalue-external-facts.txt |
| Runnable code published on the page | out/adjust_pvalues.py |
| Data | data/extract/run1/extractions.jsonl — 5,859 papers, 7 venues, 2010–2026 — plus a regex sweep over all 5,869 paper.cols.txt full texts |
| Written | 2026-08-13, against the corpus as extended on 2026-08-11 (commit 8a6b843) |
Creating, not extending, and not overlapping. statistics:pvalue_corrections was a red link promised from start. The only neighbouring page that existed when this was written is study_preregistration, which touches multiplicity in one subsection (“For scale: the rest of the inference-hygiene stack is thin too”) and cites this page forward. That subsection's figures (15.3% of inferential, 24.5% of hypothesis-test papers) agree with this page's; this page keeps the hypothesisTest denominator throughout and adds the corrected-vs-tuple distinction the preregistration page did not need. Nothing was overwritten and no neighbouring figure was contradicted.
Reachability needed no work: start already lists P-value corrections in its outline, and study_preregistration links it twice.
2. The number the task started from, and what happened to it
The task specification quoted a figure from the old corpus. Both the numerator and the denominator moved, and one distinction the old figure did not make turned out to matter.
| Old corpus (4,322 papers) | This corpus (5,859 papers) | |
|---|---|---|
inferential population | 1,302 | 1,762 |
papers with a multiple-comparison-correction tuple | 203 (15.6%) | 269 (15.3%) |
| …of which actually corrected | not distinguished | 265 |
| “Bonferroni named in…” | 84 | 141 papers, folded (105 tuples say exactly Bonferroni correction; 90 distinct strings fold to 11 families) |
Two things the task's framing got right and one it did not. Right: the correction is skipped in the setting that needs it, and the page's central table quantifies that (12.9% of crawl papers vs 38.6% of user studies). Not right: inferential is the wrong denominator. A paper whose only statistics tuple is correlation or regression may have no p-value family at all, and 41.5% of the corpus never gets past descriptives. The population that needs a correction is the 1,025 papers with a hypothesis-test tuple, and the page uses that throughout. Over inferential the rate is 15.0%; over hypothesisTest it is 24.1%. Publishing 15.0% as “how often the field corrects” would have understated it by a third.
3. Populations and denominators
| Tag | Definition | N |
|---|---|---|
all | every extraction record | 5,859 |
withAnyStats | statistics.length > 0 | 5,456 |
inferential | at least one statistics[].kind that is not descriptive-only | 1,762 |
hypothesisTest | at least one statistics[].kind == “hypothesis-test” | 1,025 |
regression / correlation | at least one tuple of that kind | 391 / 458 |
humanSubjects | participants.length > 0 | 1,357 |
crawled | crawlConfig !== null || studyTypes.includes('automated-web-crawl') | 1,120 |
inferential, crawled and humanSubjects match OVERVIEW.md exactly (1,762 / 1,120 / 1,357), which is the check that the report's population code is the same code as the dossier's.
4. Every query, with its population
cd /workspace/artifacts/wiki node scripts/mcc_fold.mjs # fold self-test node scripts/report_pvalue_corrections.mjs # every figure on the page node scripts/report_pvalue_corrections.mjs --wiki # DokuWiki tables node scripts/quote_check.mjs --statistics multiple-comparison-correction --show 62 python3 out/adjust_pvalues.py --demo # the published code's output cat out/pvalue-report.txt out/adjust_pvalues_demo.txt \ out/pvalue-external-facts.txt out/pvalue-quotecheck.txt > out/pvalue-check-source.txt node scripts/check_page_numbers.mjs pages/statistics_pvalue_corrections.txt \ out/pvalue-check-source.txt --code
| # | Question | Population | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | How many papers carry a multiple-comparison-correction tuple? | all 5,859 | 269 papers, 292 tuples |
| Q2 | …of which report a real correction rather than the absence of one? | the 269 | 265; 3 declare they did not correct; 2 more are a sphericity correction (§5) |
| Q3 | Rate within each population | §3 | hypothesisTest 247/1,025 = 24.1%; inferential 265/1,762 = 15.0%; regression 92/391 = 23.5%; correlation 56/458 = 12.2%; humanSubjects 194/1,357 = 14.3%; crawled 36/1,120 = 3.2%; all 265/5,859 = 4.5% |
| Q4 | Crossing crawl against participants, inside hypothesisTest | the 1,025 | participants-no-crawl 167/433 = 38.6%; crawl-no-participants 18/140 = 12.9%; both 17/49 = 34.7%; neither 45/403 = 11.2% |
| Q5 | Per venue, inside hypothesisTest | the 1,025 | PoPETs 68/149 = 45.6%; USENIX 69/242 = 28.5%; IEEE S&P 33/124 = 26.6%; CCS 23/110 = 20.9%; WWW 34/236 = 14.4%; IMC 10/71 = 14.1%; NDSS 10/93 = 10.8% |
| Q6 | Which procedure, folded? | the 269 with a tuple | Bonferroni 141, Holm 66, BH 43, Tukey 13, unnamed 8, BY 4, Šidák 3, Games–Howell 2, simultaneous bands 1; plus 3 NEGATIVE and 2 not-a-MCC (§5) |
| Q7 | Which family pairs overlap, so they are not added up? | the 269 | Tukey ∩ Games–Howell = 1 (union 14, 5.2%); Bonferroni ∩ Holm = 5 (union 202); Bonferroni ∩ BH = 3; BH ∩ BY = 0 |
| Q8 | Per period, all columns scoped to hypothesisTest | the 1,025 | 2010–2014 9/97 = 9.3%; 2015–2019 53/227 = 23.3%; 2020–2024 140/487 = 28.7%; 2025–2026* 45/214 = 21.0%. Procedures in 2025–2026: Bonferroni 19, Holm 14, BH 9, BY 0 |
| Q9 | Per year, uncollapsed | the 1,025 | ranges 0.0% (2010–2011) to 39.1% (2021) on denominators of 8–128. Not published as a series; the four buckets are |
| Q10 | Does the paper say how many hypotheses were in the family? | the 287 real correction tuples | 14 (4.9%) state a count; 57 (19.9%) state an adjusted α; 161 (56.1%) have any detail at all |
| Q11 | The rest of the inference-hygiene stack | the 1,025 | correction 24.5%, regression 20.8%, correlation 20.2%, effect-size 15.5%, resampling 9.1%, power 7.0%, bayesian 1.2%, preregistration 0.6% |
| Q12 | Effect size and correction together | the 1,025 | both 69; correction without an effect size 178 |
| Q13 | Power analysis and correction together | the 1,025 | 38 papers; all 38 slugs are in §9 |
| Q14 | How large is the population a crawl paper tests over? | the 189 that ran both a crawl and a hypothesis test | all 189 state a population.n; median of each paper's largest n = 38,090; ≥1,000: 161 (85.2%); ≥10,000: 133 (70.4%); ≥100,000: 85 (45.0%); ≥1,000,000: 50 (26.5%) |
| Q15 | Full-text sweep for named procedures | 5,869 paper.cols.txt | Bonferroni 189, Holm 67, BH 53, FDR spelled out 38, Tukey 27, BY 5, Šidák 5; any named procedure: 279 |
| Q16 | Full-text sweep for the surrounding vocabulary | 5,869 | “multiple comparison(s)/test(s)/hypotheses” phrase 232 (4.0%); “family-wise error” 15; “p-hack”/“HARKing” 12 |
| Q17 | Schema recall against the sweep | Q15 ∩ Q2 | 246 in both; 33 named in text and missed by the schema; 19 with a tuple whose procedure is not in the named list. 88.2% recall |
| Q18 | Has the FWER→FDR shift happened? | papers naming ≥1 of Bonferroni/Holm/BH | BH's share of that set: 2010–2014 2/9 = 22.2%; 2015–2019 8/51 = 15.7%; 2020–2024 30/141 = 21.3%; 2025–2026* 13/45 = 28.9% |
| Q19 | Is Storey's q-value, e-BH or a knockoff used? | 5,869 | q-value 11 hits, all Q-learning; e-value 1 hit, an E-VALUE semantics rule; knockoff 17 hits, all Knockoff Nets or counterfeit goods. Zero real uses of any of the three |
| Q20 | Does the literature engage with the debate about correcting? | 5,869 | “ASA statement” 0; Rothman/Perneger 1 hit, an unrelated Perneger paper on questionnaire pre-test sample size; “forking paths” 2 hits, packet-forwarding paths and symbolic-execution paths. Zero |
| Q21 | Is the partial-pooling alternative present? | 5,869 | 65 papers fit a mixed-effects/multilevel/hierarchical model. Not checked paper by paper for whether any frames it as a multiplicity strategy — see §8 |
| Q22 | Permutation tests as a multiplicity device? | 5,869 | 26 papers, 8 read; every one uses it as the test itself, not as a max-T adjustment |
5. The fold, and its residue
statistics[].method is free text and agrees run-to-run on ~0.2 of exact strings (data/extract/README.md), so it is folded before any aggregation. mcc_fold.mjs is an ordered rule list, first match wins, and a string matching no rule is returned as null and printed.
Unmapped residue: 0 distinct strings, 0 papers. All 90 distinct method strings across the 292 tuples fold.
5.1 Rule order is load-bearing
Three orderings would silently mis-file entries if reversed, and the self-test asserts each:
| Rule that must fire first | Why | Example string |
|---|---|---|
| NEGATIVE, before everything | “No multiple-testing correction” contains multiple-testing and would fold to the unnamed-adjustment family | No adjustment for multiple testing |
| Holm, before Bonferroni | Every Holm string in the corpus also says “Bonferroni” | Holm-Bonferroni correction, Bonferroni-Holm, Bon Ferroni-Holm correction, Holm's sequential Bonferroni procedure |
| Benjamini–Yekutieli, before Benjamini–Hochberg | The BY rule matches yekutieli; the BH rule matches benjamini | Benjamini-Yekutieli False Discovery Rate procedure |
node scripts/mcc_fold.mjs runs 34 cases:
34/34 fold self-tests passed
Dunn, Scheffé and Nemenyi have rules that match nothing in this corpus on their own — every corpus string naming Dunn also names Bonferroni or Holm (Dunn post-hoc tests with Holm-Bonferroni method → Holm; Dunn-Bonferroni post hoc comparison test → Bonferroni), and Scheffé and Nemenyi never appear. The rules are kept with self-test cases so they stay tested rather than rotting, and this is recorded here rather than left as an unexplained empty family.
5.2 Two buckets that are not corrections
The extraction scores a tuple as multiple-comparison-correction when the sentence is about multiple comparisons, which catches two kinds of thing that are not one. Both are excluded from every “corrected” figure on the page and both are shown in the page's own procedure table, because deleting them would be the mistake.
| Bucket | Papers | What it actually is |
|---|---|---|
| NEGATIVE | 3 | The paper states it did not correct. All three justify it as exploratory: [1Pu, Yu; Grossklags, Jens (2016): "Towards a Model on the Factors Influencing Social App Users' Valuation of Interdependent Privacy", in: Proceedings on Privacy Enhancing Technologies. (DOI)], [2Goetzen, Angelica; Dooley, Samuel; Redmiles, Elissa M. (2022): "Ctrl-Shift: How Privacy Sentiment Changed from 2019 to 2021", in: Proceedings on Privacy Enhancing Technologies. (DOI)], [3Naji, Houda; Reichmann, Felix; Bruns, Tobias; Sasse, M. Angela; Naiakshina, Alena (2025): ""It's not my responsibility to write them": An Empirical Study of Software Product Managers and Security Requirements", in: Proceedings of the USENIX Security Symposium. (Link)] |
| NOT-A-MCC | 2 | Greenhouse–Geisser, a sphericity correction to the F-test's degrees of freedom. One is [4Böttger, Christian; Demir, Nurullah; Hörnemann, Jan; Acharya, Bhupendra; Pohlmann, Norbert; Holz, Thorsten; Grosse-Kampmann, Matteo; Urban, Tobias (2025): "Understanding Regional Filter Lists: Efficacy and Impact", in: Proceedings on Privacy Enhancing Technologies. (DOI)] |
A query that counts kind == “multiple-comparison-correction” and stops there reports 269 where the answer is 265, and reports three papers that explicitly declined as having complied.
5.3 Free-text strings that are corrections but name no procedure
Eight papers describe an adjustment without naming a published procedure. They are folded to Unnamed / ad-hoc adjustment rather than guessed at, and they are listed here because the wording is the interesting part:
multiple hypothesis correction(USENIX 2021),correcting for multiple hypothesis testing(USENIX 2023),multiple-comparison corrected(PoPETs 2024) — a correction was applied and the reader cannot tell whichsignificance threshold divided by the number of groups(IEEE S&P 2024) — a described Bonferroni, deliberately not folded to Bonferroni because the string does not name itcorrection factor of two(USENIX 2024),p-value threshold adjustment for six repeated tests(IEEE S&P 2024),conservative α = 0.002(PoPETs 2024) — a numerator and no proceduremultiple test procedures(NDSS 2019) — feature selection, arguably a false positive of the schema, kept in the bucket rather than removed by hand
6. Quotes checked against source
Bulk pass over every correction quote, with the –statistics filter added to quote_check.mjs for this page:
$ node scripts/quote_check.mjs --statistics multiple-comparison-correction 292 quotes checked: 167 exact, 63 partial (>=60% of 5-word windows), 62 below threshold, 0 with no full text on disk.
62 below threshold is 21% and higher than this tool usually reports. Reading them, the cause is not fabrication: correction quotes are short (median well under 20 words), so a single dropped citation marker or an extractor ellipsis destroys a large fraction of the five-word windows. “Fisher's binomial proportion test … with a Bonferroni correction.” scores 0% and is real.
Every quote used on the content page was then located by hand in data/fulltext/<year>/<venue>/<slug>/paper.cols.txt. All 18 checked out:
| Paper | Quote fragment searched | Verdict |
|---|---|---|
| [5Datta, Amit; Tschantz, Michael Carl; Datta, Anupam (2015): "Automated Experiments on Ad Privacy Settings", in: Proceedings on Privacy Enhancing Technologies. (DOI)] | “uniformly more powerful” | found, spliced across a column break (“commonly used Bon-” / “ferroni correction”) |
| [6Lécuyer, Mathias; Spahn, Riley; Spiliopolous, Yannis; Chaintreau, Augustin; Geambasu, Roxana; Hsu, Daniel J. (2015): "Sunlight: Fine-grained Targeting Detection at Scale with Statistical Confidence", in: Proceedings of the ACM SIGSAC Conference on Computer and Communications Security. (DOI)] | “the proverbial haystack”, “88% to 61%”, “75% to 21%”, “46% of its p-values”, “widely accepted in applied statistics” | all found, §4.4 and §6.5 |
| [7Weinberg, Zachary; Sharif, Mahmood; Szurdi, Janos; Christin, Nicolas (2017): "Topics of Controversy: An Empirical Analysis of Web Censorship Lists", in: Proceedings on Privacy Enhancing Technologies. (DOI)] | “585 of the topic” | found; the sentence is spliced, and “2,904 such combinations” is in the preceding sentence |
| [8Zimmeck, Sebastian; Goldelman, Daniel; Kaplan, Owen; Brown, Logan; Casler, Justin; Jean-Charles, Judeley; Champeau, Joe; Harkous, Hamza (2024): "Website Data Transparency in the Browser", in: Proceedings on Privacy Enhancing Technologies. (DOI)] | “Benjamini-Yekutieli” | found; “59 were significant” is upstream in the same paragraph |
| [9Maass, Max; Stöver, Alina; Pridöhl, Henning; Bretthauer, Sebastian; Herrmann, Dominik; Hollick, Matthias; Spiecker, Indra (2021): "Effective Notification Campaigns on the Web: A Matter of Trust, Framing, and Support", in: Proceedings of the USENIX Security Symposium. (Link)] | “45 significance tests” | found verbatim |
| [10Valapu, Sulyab Thottungal; Heidemann, John S. (2025): "Towards a Non-Binary View of IPv6 Adoption", in: Proceedings of the ACM Internet Measurement Conference. (DOI)] | “family-wise error rate” | found verbatim |
| [11Nenadic, Luka; Rodriguez, David; Calandrino, Joseph A. (2026): "Overcoming Language Barriers: Multilingual Analysis of the 2023 Swiss Privacy Law's Impact", in: Proceedings on Privacy Enhancing Technologies. (DOI)] | “Benjamini-Hochberg” (4 occurrences) | found; the “parallel hypothesis tests increases the risk of false positives” sentence and the two-families split both verbatim |
| [12Liu, Zengrui; Iqbal, Umar; Saxena, Nitesh (2024): "Opted Out, Yet Tracked: Are Regulations Enough to Protect Your Privacy?", in: Proceedings on Privacy Enhancing Technologies. (DOI)] | “16 personas” | found verbatim, including “original value multiplied by 16” |
| [13Bouhoula, Ahmed; Kubicek, Karel; Zac, Amit; Cotrini, Carlos; Basin, David (2024): "Automated Large-Scale Analysis of Cookie Notice Compliance", in: Proceedings of the USENIX Security Symposium. (Link)] | “Holm-Bonferroni” (2 occurrences) | found verbatim |
| [2Goetzen, Angelica; Dooley, Samuel; Redmiles, Elissa M. (2022): "Ctrl-Shift: How Privacy Sentiment Changed from 2019 to 2021", in: Proceedings on Privacy Enhancing Technologies. (DOI)] | “multiple comparison correction” | found verbatim |
| [3Naji, Houda; Reichmann, Felix; Bruns, Tobias; Sasse, M. Angela; Naiakshina, Alena (2025): ""It's not my responsibility to write them": An Empirical Study of Software Product Managers and Security Requirements", in: Proceedings of the USENIX Security Symposium. (Link)] | “multiple testing correction” | found verbatim; the extraction dropped the “[78]” citation marker, which is why it scored low in the bulk pass |
| [1Pu, Yu; Grossklags, Jens (2016): "Towards a Model on the Factors Influencing Social App Users' Valuation of Interdependent Privacy", in: Proceedings on Privacy Enhancing Technologies. (DOI)] | “multiple testing problem” | the extractor's quote contains an ellipsis and does not match. Located by searching “exploratory” instead: the full sentence adds “…where multiplicity adjustments are neither mandatory, nor important [7]”, and the page quotes the expanded version |
| [4Böttger, Christian; Demir, Nurullah; Hörnemann, Jan; Acharya, Bhupendra; Pohlmann, Norbert; Holz, Thorsten; Grosse-Kampmann, Matteo; Urban, Tobias (2025): "Understanding Regional Filter Lists: Efficacy and Impact", in: Proceedings on Privacy Enhancing Technologies. (DOI)] | “Greenhouse-Geisser” | found verbatim |
| [14Bobek, Michelle; Pröllochs, Nicolas (2026): "Community Fact-Checks Do Not Break Follower Loyalty", in: Proceedings of the ACM Web Conference. (DOI)] | “simultaneous confidence band” | found verbatim |
| [15Despres, Tess; Constantino, Marcelino Ayala; Lizola, Naomi Zacarias; Romero, Gerardo Sánchez; He, Shijing; Zhan, Xiao; Abdi, Noura; Abu-Salma, Ruba; Such, Jose; Bernd, Julia (2024): ""My Best Friend's Husband Sees and Knows Everything": A Cross-Contextual and Cross-Country Approach to Understanding Smart Home Privacy", in: Proceedings on Privacy Enhancing Technologies. (DOI)] | “conservative” | found verbatim, including “(based on a maximum of 25 hypotheses tested per outcome)” |
| [16Kablo, Emiram; Cabarcos, Patricia Arias (2023): "Privacy in the Age of Neurotechnology: Investigating Public Attitudes towards Brain Data Collection and Use", in: Proceedings of the ACM SIGSAC Conference on Computer and Communications Security. (DOI)] | “106 test” | found verbatim |
| [17Ho, Grant; Mirian, Ariana; Luo, Elisa; Tong, Khang; Lee, Euyhyun; Liu, Lin; Longhurst, Christopher A.; Dameff, Christian; Savage, Stefan; Voelker, Geoffrey M. (2025): "Understanding the Efficacy of Phishing Training in Practice", in: Proceedings of the IEEE Symposium on Security and Privacy. (DOI)] | “multiple comparison” | found verbatim, including “N = 2,693 per group” |
One thing found while checking and not put on the page. [16Kablo, Emiram; Cabarcos, Patricia Arias (2023): "Privacy in the Age of Neurotechnology: Investigating Public Attitudes towards Brain Data Collection and Use", in: Proceedings of the ACM SIGSAC Conference on Computer and Communications Security. (DOI)] writes “we adjusted the standard threshold of 0.05 to a new threshold of 0.00047 (0.005 / 106)”. 0.05/106 = 0.00047, so the printed threshold is right and the parenthetical divisor has a typo, or is a PDF-extraction artefact of “0.05”. It is a one-character slip in an otherwise exemplary paper and calling it out on the page would be a gotcha, not a lesson. Recorded here instead.
7. External sources, and how each was verified
Everything below was fetched on 2026-08-13, not recalled.
7.1 DOIs, through doi.org content negotiation
curl -sL -H "Accept: application/vnd.citationstyles.csl+json" "https://doi.org/$DOI"
| DOI | HTTP | Title, journal, year, volume(issue):pages returned |
|---|---|---|
| 10.1111/j.2517-6161.1995.tb02031.x | 200 | Controlling the False Discovery Rate… / JRSS-B / 1995 / 57(1):289–300 |
| 10.1214/aos/1013699998 | 200 | The control of the false discovery rate… / Annals of Statistics / 2001 / 29(4) |
| 10.1111/1467-9868.00346 | 200 | A Direct Approach to False Discovery Rates / JRSS-B / 2002 / 64(3):479–498 |
| 10.1080/19345747.2011.618213 | 200 | Why We (Usually) Don't Have to Worry… / JREE / 2012 / 5(2):189–211 |
| 10.1511/2014.111.460 | 200 | The Statistical Crisis in Science / American Scientist / 2014 / 102(6):460 |
| 10.1080/00031305.2016.1154108 | 200 | The ASA Statement on p-Values… / The American Statistician / 2016 / 70(2):129–133 |
| 10.1097/00001648-199001000-00010 | 200 | No Adjustments Are Needed for Multiple Comparisons / Epidemiology / 1990 / 1(1):43–46 |
| 10.1136/bmj.316.7139.1236 | 200 | What's wrong with Bonferroni adjustments / BMJ / 1998 / 316(7139):1236–1238 |
The Annals of Statistics record returns no page range; 1165–1188 in the bibliography entry is the standard citation and is not confirmed by Crossref. Every other volume, issue and page range above is as returned.
7.2 Holm 1979 has no DOI, and OpenAlex reports one that does not exist
Worth recording because it is exactly the kind of thing that gets copied into a bibliography and never checked.
$ curl -sI "https://doi.org/10.2307/4615733" | head -1 HTTP/2 404 $ curl -s "https://doi.org/api/handles/10.2307/4615733" {"responseCode":100,"handle":"10.2307/4615733"} # 100 = handle not found $ curl -s "https://api.crossref.org/works/10.2307/4615733" -o /dev/null -w "%{http_code}\n" 404
OpenAlex nonetheless reports doi: https://doi.org/10.2307/4615733 for the work (W2121044470, 21,859 citations), with biblio: {volume: 6, issue: null, first_page: 65, last_page: 70}. The DOI is a MAG-derived artefact: 10.2307 is JSTOR's prefix, and JSTOR did not register a DOI for this article. The bibliography entry therefore carries a url and a note saying so, not a doi.
jstor.org could not be read either: HTTP 403 to curl, and a reCAPTCHA wall to Playwright's own Chromium from this network (“JSTOR: Access Check”, block reference recorded). So the URL is confirmed to be served by JSTOR and the article page itself was not read. Volume and pages come from OpenAlex; DBLP has no record; Europe PMC does not index the journal; the Semantic Scholar API returned HTTP 429. This is the weakest-sourced entry in the bibliography and it is the most-cited paper on the page.
7.3 Software, from the projects' own documentation
| Claim on the page | Source | Verified |
|---|---|---|
scipy.stats.false_discovery_control exists, takes method={'bh','by'} | docs.scipy.org/doc/scipy/reference/generated/scipy.stats.false_discovery_control.html | HTTP 200; page self-identifies as SciPy v1.18.0 Manual |
| “tend to offer higher power than familywise error rate control procedures (e.g. Bonferroni correction)” | same page, Notes section | quoted verbatim from the fetched HTML |
by “is guaranteed to control the FDR even when the p-values are not from independent tests” | same page, method parameter | quoted verbatim |
| latest SciPy release | pypi.org/pypi/scipy/json | 1.18.0 |
| latest statsmodels release | pypi.org/pypi/statsmodels/json | 0.14.6 |
statsmodels.stats.multitest.multipletests does all four plus Šidák | the function was run locally (§7.4), not read from the docs page, whose parameter table did not survive HTML-to-text extraction |
7.4 The published code was run, and its Holm implementation cross-checked
numpy 2.4.6, scipy 1.17.1, statsmodels 0.14.6, installed into the sandbox with pip install –break-system-packages. The page publishes the unedited –demo output.
$ python3 -c "import numpy,scipy,statsmodels; print(numpy.__version__, scipy.__version__, statsmodels.__version__)" 2.4.6 1.17.1 0.14.6 # holm() and bonferroni() vs statsmodels, five random 50-value families: 0 holm max abs diff 0.0 0 bonf max abs diff 0.0 1 holm max abs diff 0.0 1 bonf max abs diff 0.0 2 holm max abs diff 0.0 2 bonf max abs diff 0.0 3 holm max abs diff 0.0 3 bonf max abs diff 0.0 4 holm max abs diff 0.0 4 bonf max abs diff 0.0 p = [0.001 0.02 0.03 ] bonferroni -> [0.003 0.06 0.09 ] survivors 1 holm -> [0.003 0.04 0.04 ] survivors 3 statsmodels holm -> [0.003 0.04 0.04 ]
Error paths were exercised too: a non-numeric line raises ValueError: could not convert string to float: 'not-a-number' rather than being skipped, which is the behaviour the docstring promises.
Note that the demo output on the page was produced with SciPy 1.17.1 while the documentation quoted on the page is 1.18.0. false_discovery_control has not changed between them as far as the release notes show, but the two version numbers on the page are deliberately different and neither is a typo.
7.5 Rejected, and why
| Source considered | Rejected because |
|---|---|
| OpenAlex DOI for Holm 1979 | does not resolve (§7.2). This is the one that would have shipped a broken DOI |
| The “Bonferroni 1936” primary reference (Teoria statistica delle classi e calcolo delle probabilità) | an Italian-language monograph nobody on this page's audience will read, and the operative modern reference is Dunn 1961. The page gives both dates and cites neither, rather than citing something unverifiable |
| Any “top 10 statistical mistakes” style listicle for the currency claim | the currency claim is decidable from the corpus counts plus the Holm dominance argument, so no secondary source is needed and none is used |
| Storey 2002 as a recommendation | it is in the procedure table and the bibliography, but it is not recommended: nothing in this corpus uses it and its assumptions are less clearly met than BH's. Cited as “worth knowing”, not “use this” |
| e-values / e-BH (Wang & Ramdas 2022) as a current-practice claim | genuinely current in the statistics literature, and zero presence in this corpus or in web-measurement practice. Mentioning it would have made the page's currency section look better-informed and told the reader nothing they can use. Left out entirely, and recorded here so the next run does not add it as decoration |
| Semantic Scholar API | HTTP 429 without a key; not retried |
| DBLP, Europe PMC, DataCite for Holm 1979 | zero hits, zero hits, and not the right registry |
8. What could not be established
- Whether any of the 65 mixed-effects papers frames its model as a multiplicity strategy. The page says “not one frames it as an answer to multiplicity” in the body and immediately qualifies it in a footnote: none surfaced while reading correction passages, and the 65 were not read one by one. This is the softest claim on the page and it is flagged as an open question there too. Closing it is 65 paper-reads.
- Whether the other 37 power-analysis-plus-correction papers computed the correction before sizing the study. The extraction carries no ordering between two
statisticstuples, so only [17Ho, Grant; Mirian, Ariana; Luo, Elisa; Tong, Khang; Lee, Euyhyun; Liu, Lin; Longhurst, Christopher A.; Dameff, Christian; Savage, Stefan; Voelker, Geoffrey M. (2025): "Understanding the Efficacy of Phishing Training in Practice", in: Proceedings of the IEEE Symposium on Security and Privacy. (DOI)], whose sentence states the sequence, can be claimed. The page says so. - Why NDSS is lowest. 10.8% is the lowest venue rate and the page reports it without an explanation. A plausible one — NDSS publishes proportionally more systems papers whose statistics are classifier metrics rather than hypothesis tests — is not tested here. Note that classifier metrics live in
detection.metric, notstatistics, by design, so they are not what depresses this number. - Whether the 33 schema-missed papers are real misses. They are listed in full in the report output. They were not read individually; the 88.2% recall figure treats all 33 as misses, which is the conservative direction — a paper mentioning Bonferroni only in related work is a sweep false positive, not a schema miss, and would raise the recall figure.
- The true correction rate. Every figure here is a rate of reporting, not of practice. A paper that corrected and did not write it down is indistinguishable from one that did not correct.
statisticshas nonot-statedsentinel, so silence and absence are the same value. - Whether uncorrected findings in this literature are wrong. The obvious study — take papers that ran many tests without correcting, recompute their p-values from released data, see how many claims survive — needs released p-values, which is an Artifacts problem. Listed as an open question on the page.
9. The 38 papers with both a power analysis and a correction
Q13's full list, since the page quotes only the count and one paper. Population: the 1,025 hypothesisTest papers.
PETS/2017/to-permit-or-not-to-permit-that-is-the-usability-question-crowdsourcing-mobile-a PETS/2020/the-best-of-both-worlds-mitigating-trade-offs-between-accuracy-and-user-burden-i USENIX/2020/i-am-uncomfortable-sharing-what-i-cant-see-privacy-concerns-of-the-visually-impa PETS/2021/warn-them-or-just-block-them-investigating-privacy-concerns-among-older-and-work PETS/2021/awareness-adoption-and-misconceptions-of-web-privacy-tools USENIX/2021/effect-of-mood-location-trust-and-presence-of-others-on-video-based-social-authe USENIX/2021/evaluating-in-workflow-messages-for-improving-mental-models-of-end-to-end-encryp USENIX/2021/on-the-usability-of-authenticity-checks-for-hardware-security-tokens WWW/2021/an-experimental-study-to-understand-user-experience-and-perception-bias-occurred IEEE-SP/2020/influencing-photo-sharing-decisions-on-social-media-a-case-of-paradoxical-findin IEEE-SP/2020/are-anonymity-seekers-just-like-everybody-else-an-analysis-of-contributions-to-w IMC/2022/what-factors-affect-targeting-and-bids-in-online-advertising-a-field-measurement PETS/2022/increasing-adoption-of-tor-browser-using-informational-and-planning-nudges PETS/2022/personal-information-inference-from-voice-recordings-user-awareness-and-privacy USENIX/2022/where-to-recruit-for-security-development-studies-comparing-six-software-develop USENIX/2023/exploring-tenants-preferences-of-privacy-negotiation-in-airbnb USENIX/2023/if-sighted-people-know-i-should-be-able-to-know-privacy-perceptions-of-bystander PETS/2024/how-does-connecting-online-activities-to-advertising-inferences-impact-privacy-p PETS/2024/supporting-informed-choices-about-browser-cookies-the-impact-of-personalised-coo IEEE-SP/2024/a-picture-is-worth-500-labels-a-case-study-of-demographic-disparities-in-local-m PETS/2024/simply-tell-me-how-on-trustworthiness-and-technology-acceptance-of-attribute-bas USENIX/2024/engaging-company-developers-in-security-research-studies-a-comprehensive-literat PETS/2024/what-does-it-mean-to-be-creepy-responses-to-visualizations-of-personal-browsing USENIX/2024/simulated-stress-a-case-study-of-the-effects-of-a-simulated-phishing-campaign-on IEEE-SP/2025/not-the-right-question-a-study-on-attitudes-toward-client-side-scanning-with-sec IEEE-SP/2025/its-time-time-for-digital-security-an-end-user-study-on-actionable-security-and PETS/2025/ai-is-from-the-devil-behaviors-and-concerns-toward-personal-data-sharing-with-ll PETS/2025/privacy-perceptions-and-behaviors-towards-targeted-advertising-on-social-media-a USENIX/2025/vulnerability-of-text-matching-in-ml-ai-conference-reviewer-assignments-to-collu PETS/2026/the-city-isn-t-uploading-me-to-tiktok-exploring-privacy-attitudes-towards-data-c USENIX/2026/you-know-why-but-still-rely-the-impact-of-explainable-ai-on-trust-task-load-and PETS/2026/are-bite-size-data-safety-details-a-healthy-diet-for-android-telehealth-app-user NDSS/2025/the-kids-are-all-right-investigating-the-susceptibility-of-teens-and-adults-to-youtube-giveaway-scams PETS/2025/who-cares-contextual-privacy-judgments-from-owner-and-bystander-perspectives-in IEEE-SP/2025/lets-get-visual-testing-visual-analogies-and-metaphors-for-conveying-privacy-pol USENIX/2025/malicious-llm-based-conversational-ai-makes-users-reveal-personal-information IEEE-SP/2024/casual-users-and-rational-choices-within-differential-privacy IEEE-SP/2024/investigating-voter-perceptions-of-printed-physical-audit-trails-for-online-voti
36 of the 38 recruited human participants. The two that did not are IEEE-SP/2020/are-anonymity-seekers-just-like-everybody-else and IEEE-SP/2024/a-picture-is-worth-500-labels. Exactly one of the 38 ran a crawl: PETS/2024/what-does-it-mean-to-be-creepy, whose studyTypes includes automated-web-crawl and which also recruited participants. So the population that sizes a study with a correction in the calculation is, with one partial exception, a user-study population.
An earlier version of this section said “37 of the 38” and named IMC/2022/what-factors-affect-targeting-and-bids-in-online-advertising as the exception and as a crawl. All three parts of that were wrong — the count is 36, that paper has participants tuples, and its studyTypes are ['user-study', 'manual-audit'] with crawlConfig === null, so it is not a crawl by the definition in §3. It was caught by the figures-vs-script reviewer and is recorded here rather than silently corrected, because it is the clearest example on this page of a claim written from memory instead of from a query.
10. Judgement calls
| Call | Why | A reasonable person could have |
|---|---|---|
Denominator is hypothesisTest (1,025), not inferential (1,762) | a paper with no p-values cannot correct, so inferential answers a question nobody asked | used inferential for continuity with the task specification and study_preregistration. Both are on the page, with hypothesisTest first |
| Bonferroni is called historical / superseded, while the page also says it is still modal here | the two statements are about different things and the page separates them explicitly. Holm's dominance is a theorem, not a fashion, and Datta et al. state it inside this literature | refused to date it at all, on the grounds that a valid procedure is never superseded. That reading is defensible and it is why the verdict column says “Never wrong, just never optimal” |
| The three NEGATIVE papers are shown, not deleted | they are the page's only examples of correctly declining, and hiding them would misrepresent the extraction | dropped them as extraction noise. That would have lost the best content in the section |
| Per-year series is not published; four buckets are | the per-year series moves 17.4%–39.1% on denominators of 64–128 and would read as a trend | published the series with a caveat. The uncollapsed series is in the report output and in Q9 for anyone who wants it |
The 2025–2026 procedure counts are scoped to hypothesisTest | so that every column in that table shares one population | left them over all 269 MCC papers, which is what the first draft did (24/14/10 instead of 19/14/9). That mixed two denominators inside one row and was caught before publication — the report now prints both, with the unscoped version labelled “do not publish” |
| Tukey and Games–Howell share one table row | they answer the same design question | given them separate rows. The row states “13 + 2, union 14 (5.2%)” rather than 15, because one paper uses both |
| The page teaches FWER-vs-FDR as an editorial choice, not a statistical one | it is the only framing that a measurement person can actually apply, and the textbook framing (independence, PRDS) does not decide anything for them | led with the assumptions. The assumptions are in the table; the decision rule is in prose |
No ~~DISCUSSION~~ on this provenance page | comments belong on the content page. This follows the precedent set by study_preregistration | added one |
11. Review log
Four reviewers, all told explicitly that the author's context may not be exhaustive, and all handed the page text, the report script, its unedited output, and these notes. The three focused passes ran in parallel first; the generic pass ran after their findings were applied.
11.1 ''sonnet'' — figures against the script
Re-ran all three scripts (byte-identical to the committed output), re-derived the 1,025 / 269 / 141 anchor counts from extractions.jsonl in an independent Python re-implementation of the fold, and cross-checked holm()/bonferroni() against statsmodels on 20 random families plus edge cases (all-ones, single value, ties): max abs diff 0.0.
| Finding | Accepted? | What was done |
|---|---|---|
| “The phrase appears in zero of the 5,869 full texts” is false twice on the page: the literal string matches 2, and the page's own table says so two paragraphs later | yes | Both sentences rewritten to say the string matches twice and both are false positives, with a pointer to the table. The intended claim (nobody cites the idea) survives; the falsifiable one did not |
| The footnote “so the row sums exceed 45” is wrong for the row it is attached to: 19+14+9+0 = 42 | yes | Footnote rewritten. The four figures are neither disjoint nor exhaustive, so they can sum either side of 45; the footnote now says which and gives 42 |
| “moves between 17.4% (2026) and 39.1% (2021) on denominators of 64–128” — the real range is 0.0% (2010, 2011) to 39.1% (2021) on 8–128, which §4 Q9 of this page states correctly | yes | Corrected on the content page. The content page contradicted its own provenance page, which is the worst version of this defect |
| Provenance §9's “37 of the 38 recruited human participants, the exception is IMC/2022…” is wrong on the count, the named paper, and the “is also a crawl” claim | yes | Re-queried: 36 of 38, and the two without participants are both IEEE S&P. §9 rewritten and the error left visible in a box |
out/pvalue-external-facts.txt still carried “0.4 illustrative percentage-point difference” from the draft the page no longer uses | yes | Line deleted. The reviewer independently recomputed the replacement z-test (z = 7.294, p = 3.00 × 10⁻¹³) and confirmed it |
| “eight of them are reportable at k = 200” is only true for Benjamini–Hochberg; under Holm it is 2 | yes | Sentence now names both procedures. It read as procedure-agnostic and was not |
One correction to the reviewer, recorded for the record: it reported that IMC/2022/what-factors-affect-targeting-and-bids “has 286 participants (recruited via Prolific)”. The participants array on that record has 2 tuples, not 286 people; the reviewer conflated a tuple count with a headcount. Its substantive point — that the paper has participants and is not a crawl — is correct and was the basis for the fix.
11.2 ''sonnet'' — citations and quotes
Verified all 27 citekeys resolve with no collisions, all 17 corpus entries against data/corpus2/.meta and the papers' own front matter, all 8 external DOIs through doi.org, and all 18 quotations against paper.cols.txt.
| Finding | Accepted? | What was done |
|---|---|---|
The Sunlight quote “the proportion of high p-value hypothesis play an important role” should be “hypotheses” — the singular came from mis-resolving the column-split word hypothe- / ses | yes | Fixed to the plural |
| “apply Holm–Bonferroni to Fisher's exact tests across violation types and CMP subsets” merges two distinct applications in Bouhoula et al. — §5.3 pairwise violation comparisons across popularity ranks, and §6 Fisher's exact tests on CMP subsets | yes | The table cell now describes both, which is a better example of k growing anyway |
gelman2014_statistical has pages = {460}, which matches Crossref, OpenAlex and Semantic Scholar, but the article is a multi-page American Scientist feature (secondary tools show “460+” or 460–465) | partly | Left as 460. Every queryable registry gives a single page and no primary source for the end page could be found; inventing 465 would be worse than under-specifying. Recorded here |
benjamini2001_control pages 1165–1188 are not in the Crossref record | already recorded | §7.1 already says so. The reviewer independently confirmed them against Semantic Scholar, which is a stronger position than before |
| Every substantive claim attributed to Gelman/Hill/Yajima, Gelman & Loken, Rothman, Perneger and the ASA statement checks out against those papers' own abstracts and text; the Holm-dominates-Bonferroni claim is correct as statistics and is stated by Datta et al. inside the corpus | no change needed | — |
| Kablo & Cabarcos's “(0.005 / 106)” is confirmed as an error in the paper itself, not an extraction artefact | no change needed | Stays off the content page for the reason in §6 |
11.3 ''sonnet'' — external currency, as of 2026-08-13
| Finding | Accepted? | What was done |
|---|---|---|
| CONSORT 2025 [18Hopewell, Sally; Chan, An-Wen; Collins, Gary S.; Hróbjartsson, Asbjørn; Moher, David; Schulz, Kenneth F.; others, (2025): "CONSORT 2025 explanation and elaboration: updated guideline for reporting randomised trials", BMJ 389:e081124. (DOI)] added a multiplicity-reporting requirement, published 2025 and therefore newer than anything else on the page | yes | Re-verified independently before writing: DOI 10.1136/bmj-2024-081124 resolves; the sentence “Any methods used to mitigate or account for multiplicity should be described…” was read verbatim from the explanation-and-elaboration document at pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11995452. Added to the currency box and to What to Report, framed as a reporting standard in an adjacent field, not as a change of procedure |
multipletests accepts bonferroni, sidak, holm-sidak, holm, simes-hochberg, hommel, fdr_bh, fdr_by, fdr_tsbh, fdr_tsbky as of 0.14.6 | yes | The exact method strings are now on the page, which is more useful than “does all four plus Šidák” |
| e-values / e-BH and selective inference are active research but have no adopted standing and zero presence in this corpus, so “nothing has been overturned” holds | yes, sharpened | The currency box now says so explicitly instead of leaving it implicit. Rejecting e-BH as a recommendation is recorded in §7.5 |
The DokuWiki code exporter renders Šidák as Sidak in the downloadable adjust_pvalues.py | noted, not fixed | Cosmetic, in a docstring, does not affect execution. The page's source deliberately ASCII-ises it for this reason |
| Holm 1979 has no real DOI anywhere — Crossref by title and by container, DataCite and OpenAlex all searched; Wiley's issue page returns HTTP 402 | confirms §7.2 | No change. The independent search is worth more than the original check |
All 17 corpus DOIs and all 3 USENIX URLs return HTTP 200; SciPy 1.18.0 and statsmodels 0.14.6 are current; false_discovery_control is unchanged between 1.17.1 and 1.18.0 | no change needed | — |
11.4 ''fable'' — generic
See below.
12. The run itself
| Date | 2026-08-13 |
| Corpus at the time | 5,859 extracted papers / 5,869 full texts, 7 venues, 2010–2026, as extended 2026-08-11 (8a6b843) |
| Author | Claude (Opus 5), single session, no human supervision |
| Reviewers | three sonnet passes (figures-vs-script, citations-and-quotes, external currency) and one fable generic pass |
| New scripts | scripts/mcc_fold.mjs, scripts/report_pvalue_corrections.mjs |
| Modified scripts | scripts/quote_check.mjs — added a –statistics <kind> filter, which did not exist |
| New artifacts | out/pvalue-report.txt, out/pvalue-quotecheck.txt, out/pvalue-external-facts.txt, out/adjust_pvalues.py, out/adjust_pvalues_demo.txt, out/bib_additions_pvalue.bib |
| Bibliography | 26 entries appended: 17 corpus papers via bibgen.mjs, 9 external statistics references. No duplicate keys; all 27 keys used on the page resolve |
| Mistakes caught in review of my own work | (1) the per-period procedure columns were scoped to all 269 MCC papers while the rest of the row was scoped to 1,025 hypothesis-test papers — two denominators in one row, fixed before publication; (2) “one paper in this corpus puts the correction in the power analysis” was wrong: 38 papers report both, and only the sequencing claim is defensible; (3) the Tukey/Games–Howell row summed two overlapping families to 15 where the union is 14; (4) the “BH share of the three” column divided by a sum of overlapping paper counts rather than by the union; (5) the first adjust_pvalues.py demo labelled case 3 as adding 1,780 nulls when the code adds 1,980 |
| Accidental exposure | none. The dataset mount is read-only and nothing was written to it; credentials stayed in the gitignored .env |
Related
- pvalue_corrections — the page these notes back.
- corpus — the corpus-level provenance: how the 5,859 papers were selected, extracted and validated.
- study_preregistration — the sibling
statistics:provenance page, and the source of this page's format.
References
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